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Forecasting for Economics and Business
UoS Code ECMT3130
Credit points 6
Offered Semester 2
Prerequisites ECMT2110 or ECMT2010
Corequisites
Prohibitions ECMT3030
Assumed Knowledge
Additional Information
Lectures two 1-hour lectures and one 1-hour lab per week
Assessment Assignment; Group assignment; Mid-Semester exam; Final exam
Description The need to forecast or predict future values of economic time series arises frequently in many branches of applied economic and commercial work. It is, moreover, a topic which lends itself naturally to econometric and statistical treatment. The specific feature which distinguishes time series from other data is that the order in which the sample is recorded is of relevance. As a result of this, a substantial body of statistical methodology has developed. This unit provides an introduction to methods of time series analysis and forecasting. The material covered is primarily time domain methods designed for a single series and includes the building of linear time series models, the theory and practice of univariate forecasting and the use of regression methods for forecasting. Throughout the unit a balance between theory and practical application is maintained.